Research Report · H1 2026

African Markets H1 2026 Review

African stock exchanges delivered one of the strongest half-years on record. Measured in US dollars, 11 of the 16 African markets with a clean dollar conversion beat the S&P 500's +9.6% return — and 7 beat the MSCI Emerging Markets index. Ghana led the world's major exchanges; Nigeria's rally was amplified by a strengthening naira.

Period: 31 Dec 2025 → 30 Jun 2026Published: 17 Jul 202617 exchanges covered
+67.9%
🇬🇭 Ghana — Africa's best performer (GSE Composite Index)
11/16
African markets that beat the S&P 500 in USD terms (S&P: +9.6%)
+55.7%
🇳🇬 Nigeria's USD return — local gains plus a ~5% naira appreciation
-12.4%
🇲🇼 Malawi — H1's weakest market (MSE All-Share Index)

H1 2026 returns in US dollars

Dollar returns are what a foreign investor actually earned: the local index move adjusted for the currency's move against the dollar over the same period. Gold bars are global benchmarks for comparison.

Total return, 31 Dec 2025 – 30 Jun 2026 (USD)
🌐 MSCI Emerging Markets
+25.0%
🇺🇸 S&P 500 (USA)
+9.6%
Zimbabwe (+50.4% in ZiG terms) is excluded from the USD ranking — no continuously-quoted USD rate is available for the full period. Source: Mansa Markets, official exchange closing levels. Free to reproduce with attribution.

The headlines

🇬🇭 Ghana was the best-performing stock market in Africa — and one of the best in the world. The GSE Composite Index rose 67.9% in cedi terms, from 8,770 to 14,724 points, driven by financial and petroleum stocks. Even after adjusting for the currency, dollar investors earned 62.2% in six months.

🇳🇬 Nigeria's dollar return beat its local return. The NGX All-Share Index climbed 47.4% to close H1 at 229,419.18 — despite a sharp June correction that stripped more than 11 percentage points off the year-to-date figure. Because the naira strengthened roughly 5% against the dollar over the half, a dollar-based investor earned 55.7% — a reversal of the currency drag that punished foreign investors in 2023–2024.

🇿🇲 Zambia is the half-year's strangest chart. The LuSE All-Share Index was essentially flat in kwacha (−0.5%), but the currency appreciated so sharply that dollar investors still earned ~23% — more than double the S&P 500, from a market that went nowhere.

North Africa split in two. Tunisia's TUNINDEX surged 47.7% to repeated all-time highs and Egypt's EGX 30 added 20.7%, while Morocco's MASI slipped 3.3% — a pullback after its standout 2025, when the index gained roughly 28%.

The laggards were the continent's most developed and most frontier markets at once. South Africa's JSE All-Share fell 4.8% in rand terms, and Malawi was H1's weakest performer at −12.4%, hit by a capital-gains-tax change and broad losses across its listed banks.

Full table: all 17 markets

#MarketIndex31 Dec 202530 Jun 2026Local %USD %
1🇬🇭 GhanaGSE Composite Index8,770.2514,724.26+67.9%+62.2%
2🇳🇬 NigeriaNGX All-Share Index155,613.03229,419.18+47.4%+55.7%
3🇿🇼 ZimbabweZSE All-Share Index277.86417.81+50.4%n/a
4🇹🇳 TunisiaTUNINDEX13,449.9519,863.75+47.7%+47.5%
5🇷🇼 RwandaRSE All-Share Index182.26255.05+39.9%+39.7%
6🇹🇿 TanzaniaDSE All-Share Index2,761.934,048.80+46.6%+37.5%
7🌍 West Africa (WAEMU)BRVM Composite Index345.75453.21+31.1%+30.2%
8🇺🇬 UgandaUSE All-Share Index1,631.802,063.98+26.5%+25.2%
9🇿🇲 ZambiaLuSE All-Share Index25,919.8325,784.88-0.5%+22.9%
10🇰🇪 KenyaNSE All-Share Index (NASI)186.58224.15+20.1%+19.7%
11🇪🇬 EgyptEGX 3041,828.9750,487.96+20.7%+17.2%
12🇳🇦 NamibiaNSX Overall Index2,141.332,312.29+8.0%+13.0%
13🇧🇼 BotswanaBSE Domestic Company Index11,030.0311,157.56+1.2%-1.7%
14🇲🇦 MoroccoMASI18,846.3518,217.27-3.3%-3.0%
15🇿🇦 South AfricaJSE All-Share Index115,832.30110,313.85-4.8%-3.5%
16🇲🇺 MauritiusSEM-ASI (All-Share)2,118.852,031.69-4.1%-7.0%
17🇲🇼 MalawiMSE All-Share Index598,062.80524,002.31-12.4%-13.0%

🇳🇬 Nigeria: The naira strengthened ~5% against the dollar over H1, so Nigeria's dollar return exceeds its local-currency return.

🇿🇼 Zimbabwe: Reported in ZiG (ZWG). A clean, continuously-quoted USD rate for the full period is not available, so no USD return is shown.

🌍 West Africa (WAEMU): The BRVM serves eight West African countries sharing the CFA franc: Benin, Burkina Faso, Côte d'Ivoire, Guinea-Bissau, Mali, Niger, Senegal and Togo.

🇿🇲 Zambia: Nearly flat in kwacha, but the currency appreciated sharply against the dollar over H1 — turning a local-currency wash into a ~23% gain for dollar investors.

🇲🇦 Morocco: Pulling back after a standout 2025 in which the MASI gained roughly 28%.

🇲🇼 Malawi: H1's weakest performer, hit by a tax change and heavy bank-stock losses.

Methodology

How these numbers are computed. Every return uses official exchange closing index levels: the final trading session of 2025 (31 December 2025) against the final session of H1 2026 (30 June 2026), drawn from Mansa Markets' index database and spot-checked against each exchange's published figures and third-party aggregators in July 2026. USD returns apply the same-period move in the USD/local-currency exchange rate — so a currency that strengthened lifts the dollar return above the local return (Nigeria, Zambia, Namibia), and a weakening one drags it below (Tanzania, Egypt). Where no clean, continuously-quoted USD rate exists for the full period (Zimbabwe), no USD return is shown rather than an estimate. Benchmark returns (S&P 500, MSCI Emerging Markets) are USD price returns over the identical window.
For journalists & researchersThis report and its underlying data are free to cite, quote, and republish in charts with attribution to Mansa Markets and a link to this page. For the full dataset, daily index histories across 17+ African exchanges, or comment on any market, contact us via mansamarkets.com/contact — we respond same-day. Live market pages: all African markets.